example. Only 12 percent of the nations dailies
endorsed him. Clearly, what is on the editorial page does
not represent public opinion.
However, content analysis often shows trends in the
medias agenda setting function. Most press researchers
agree that mass media is not effective at changing
opinions on any given topic, but deciding what will be
discussed on a national scale (agenda setting) is most
often accomplished by media coverage of a topic.
Knowing what topic is coming to the forefront of media
attention would be valuable information to public affairs
practitioners, especially if such a topic were to be
military drug use or shipboard safety. A good public
affairs office can then be proactive and check into local
procedures or problems and bring together a
contingency plan or perhaps even point out trouble areas
to those concerned.
Mail Analysis
In relation to mass media, content analysis is mail
analysis. This form of research is economical and often
overlooked. It is not to be used as hard scientific data,
such as the formal surveys you will soon read how to
do, but it may serve as early warnings on sources of ill
will or problem relationships. For most military print,
broadcast and public affairs activities, reading every
letter received from the public is usually not a tough
assignment, and it is strongly suggested that each letter
be answered. Few stations or offices have ever been
inundated with bags of mail that would require random
selections of letters to be read. This type of data
collection is mentioned here to make you aware that
letters can be more than just communication between a
listener and a disc jockey. They may be the tip of a
controversial iceberg.
Call-in Telephone Lines
During Operation DESERT STORM, CHINFO
operated a toll-free telephone line to answer questions
from military family members. The line was a huge
success and soon became the number to call even for the
family members of other services. The reason for such
a huge success was due, in part, to the analysis of the
trends found in the calls. One such trend that the Navy
exploited was the huge amount of calls from
Spanish-speaking families. By chance, during the first
few days of operation, a Spanish speaking person was
available to answer questions. Since no other branch of
service was able to handle non-English calls, the Navy
was soon taking them all. Also, at the time, CHINFO
saw the trend in non-English calls and institutionalized
having a Spanish-speaking staffer on hand to take such
calls.
This is a good example of moving with a fluid
situation and of the use call-in telephone lines may be
put to in identifying areas of concern. Was the military
family audience in this case known? Not well enough.
Was everything that was being released about the Gulf
War going to all of the internal audiences we thought
they were? Evidently not. A good lesson was reiterated
about knowing the intended audience. It was also a good
example of using data that has already been collected,
and in particular, using data collected from a call-in
telephone line.
FORMAL SURVEYS
For those of you who have been wondering when
this chapter on surveys was going to begin looking like
a chapter on surveys, your wait is over. This next section
will begin dealing with more traditional forms of survey
research techniques.
Telephone Surveys
The telephone is arguably the cheapest way to do a
survey. Most students of journalism know about the
early telephone surveys that did not take into account
who the owners of telephones were. In 1936 the
Literary Digest mailed out 10 million surveys to
discover who was going to win the presidential race
between Franklin Delano Roosevelt and Alfred Landon.
This was the largest sampling of a population ever
attempted up to that time. The bias of the poll was later
discovered to be how the Digest found the addresses
of their would-be respondents. They used the telephone
book.
At that time in America, rural areas, as well as many
inner city areas, had substantial populations without
telephone access. This affected the results by surveying
more well-to-do people who could afford telephones.
Franklin Delano Roosevelt was planning for a large vote
from the urban and rural poor. You can see how the data
gathered over the telephone would have favored the
candidate trying to represent the wealthier telephone
owners. The poll predicted Landon by a large margin.
Just the opposite occurred with Roosevelt winning in a
landslide, 62 percent to 38 percent. Telephone
ownership is not much of a problem for most
presidential pollsters these days. However, it is still a
problem when you conduct a telephone survey and
many members of your audience live in the
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